New: Business Confidence Index in collaboration with ICISA

17/03/2026
Publications

Now produced in collaboration with ICISA, this expanded edition of the Business Confidence Index broadens its reach to capture a more comprehensive picture of the export credit and political risk insurance market, as well as the wider trade credit insurance market.

Short-term demand sentiment has strengthened heading into 2026 H1, driven by a wave of bilateral trade agreements and growing exporter appetite for cover in higher-risk markets. Claims expectations have risen in parallel, with expanding portfolios, climbing global insolvencies, tariff pressures on key supply chains, and oil price volatility stemming from the Iran conflict presenting the primary areas of concern.

MLT demand sentiment remains steadily optimistic, with defence, energy transition, and critical minerals sustaining the core pipeline. Data centres, nuclear, and aviation are boosting demand, while private insurers are seeing growing interest from FIs and DFIs. Claims expectations are stable, though sovereign debt stress in Africa and tariff-exposed sectors warrant close monitoring.

Read the full report via the link below...

No alt text provided for this image

New: Business Confidence Index in collaboration with ICISA

https://bublob.blob.core.windows.net

Global export credit and political risk insurance demand is expected to strengthen in the first half of 2026, driven by trade agreement activity, energy projects, data centre infrastructure investment, and growing exporter appetite for cover in higher-risk markets. Tariff uncertainty, rising insolvency forecasts, and oil price pressure from the Iran conflict present the primary risks to the claims outlook.

Latest News

Publications
17/03/2026

New: Business Confidence Index in collaboration with ICISA

Global export credit and political risk insurance demand is expected to strengthen in the first half...
Press Release
10/03/2026

BU Blended Finance Hackathon addresses risk sharing for private capital mobilisation

A cross-industry group of technical experts gathered in London to work on how we can replicate and s...
Publications
06/02/2026

Berne Union Yearbook video commentary

Discover the new short edition of the Berne Union Yearbook with fresh video interviews and key insig...
Member News
02/02/2026

LMA Paper Published - Export Credit Agencies Demystified

Please read and circulate the paper on how a facility agreement involving an ECA differs from a corp...
Member News
09/12/2025

Berne Union releases 2025 Yearbook

The Berne Union’s Yearbook 2025, our flagship annual publication, is now live!
Member News
24/11/2025

New Member Announcement

The Berne Union is delighted to welcome AfDB and MSIG USA as it's newest members!
Press Release
21/10/2025

Berne Union's 2025 AGM Press Release

Berne Union members support record levels of trade
Member News
20/10/2025

Agreement to Enhance RCG Activities among the RCG Members

The Regional Cooperation Group (RCG) is composed of BU members in the Asia-Pacific region and was es...
Member News
19/10/2025

Advancing Global Trade Partnerships: SAUDI EXIM Hosts the 2025 Global Partners Forum in Riyadh

19 – 20 November 2025 | Hilton Riyadh Hotel & Residences | Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Publications
15/08/2025

Business Confidence Index H2.25 Published

Short-term export credit providers report a stable overall outlook for demand, though many anticipat...
Press Release
01/08/2025

Berne Union Blended Finance Hackathon, Call for Proposals - Are You In?

We are excited to announce the BU Hackathon and we want your proposals!

Upcoming meetings

MLT Technical Panel 2026

Mar 24 - Mar 26, 2026
Brussels, Belgium
The MLT TP will take place in March 2026, in Brussels, Belgium
REGISTRATION OPEN
Read more

Navigating the Shift: ECAs in the Energy Transition Era Webinar

Mar 25, 2026
Online
A webinar featuring guest speakers from the International Energy Agency (IEA) on shifting global energy financ...

Unlocking the Power of Impact: A New Lens for Export Finance Webinar

Apr 21, 2026
Online
BU/ICC Joint Webinar presented by Acre Impact Capital

Spring Meeting Astana 2026

May 11 - May 14, 2026
Astana, Kazakhstan
The 2026 Spring Meeting will take place in Astana, hosted by KazakhExport

Young Professionals Forum 2026

Jun 10 - Jun 12, 2026
Stockholm, Sweden
The YP's 5th in-person meeting takes place 11th and 12th June with the welcome reception taking place on Wedne...